Depending on the seriousness of the punter a unit may be £1, £10, £100 or even more. Here’s an example of how you could apply the staking plan: Set a betting bankroll: you’ve set your betting bankroll at $1,000. Expert tips from our racing analysts. Every Back/Lay Staking Plan in TSM is available to use in The Bet Machine. Giving us +£78, and -£79. If the bet loses, double your stake on your next horse. 19 backing and 19 laying staking plans: Automatic markets and selections search across the all sports events: Load multiple UK, AUS, US races, greyhounds and other markets: Betting on unnamed favourites (1-6. It's all a mat. Top Dog + Top Box = Top Bet. For instance, if you have just backed a 5-2 winner, you advance two steps. 40, and he would place the rest of the money, $6. 50. If you only wanted to chase . When your stake is 3 units eachway or higher, drop back one full point after a winner. This way, even after encountering a losing streak. However, there is a 50% chance of your hitting a losing sequence of 12 and a 25% chance of a run of 14 losers. 50. The performance of favourites in Ascot this week (only two and a joint-favourite have obliged since Tuesday) reminds me to remind you that in this world of laying, there is money to be made in taking on favourites. 50 or better. Your return for Bank One is $20 at 5/1, or $120. Punters see staking plans as a panacea for poor systems. It supports the configuration of several features such as: Lay to liability, amount to win, staking plans, and loss pot recovery. The required bank is 510 units which covers a series of 45 bets (5 series of 9 each). He felt the strength of his betting was a very careful selection of his bets, mostly choosing short-priced favourites, and then applying. Monday, 10 February 2014 Do you have a Staking Plan?? In this interview on RSN - Radio & Sport conducted by Warren Huntly, Dean the Trial Spy from Horse Racing. 2. A good example of this is the Martingale system, which relies on doubling up your stake after a losing bet. 5 goals markets in football. Start every series with a $10 wager (or a multiple) on the first bet. Thus the nameThe. 00 TAB) or less. 14). As opposed to you just guessing that you’ll bet $20 on the Jets game. In this simulation, we used the Kelly Criterion formula for proportional sports betting. Favourites; Staking Plans; Dealing with Dollars; No data found DEALING WITH DOLLARS By Statsman Why is it that punters who back favourites continue to take a pretty hefty beating at the races? It's worth really taking a close look at favourites, and betting on them. The bets on the other horses are as follows: Horse Y's percentage is 20 divided by 61. The three staking plans chosen were (1) Level Stakes, (2) The Kelly 5 Per Cent of Bank, and (3) The Key Progression. Using Fixed Liability for High Odds: When laying horses with very high odds, a fixed liability staking plan can ensure losses don't spiral out of control. You can start before March 6 if you like of course, but it is the first. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. The tried and proven 6-Point Divisor Plan is still regarded as one of the best for those punters who draw up sensible selections. Try sticking to favourites in fields of 10 or fewer, and ditch that staking plan. . THE NUTS AND BOLTS. Well a euro1000 bankroll can quickly turn into a substantial amount with consistent value recognition and an intelligent staking plan. If your bank is $100, keep half of it in reserve and begin your betting with $50. Don said picking a trifecta winning bet was a test of skill rather than a game of chance. Over the years, enough has been written about the fact that betting on favourites is not profitable, even if they do win roughly 30 per cent of races. However, if bet one wins at odds of Evens, your new bankroll value is £525 – as such, bet two would increase to a stake of £26. In this article I want to touch on another most interesting 'Divisor' betting approach. They think staking plans are a magical technique that can turn a loss into a profit. That means relatively small returns compared to your stake, but with an increases chance of actually winning the bet. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. You get back $50 for a profit of $17 (+51. The remainder, $9, goes on the banker. Click here to read Part 2. Let's say the favourites were at evens, 5/2, 2/1 and 11/4. Betting at level stakes with a $2. In a way, it sums up betting. 2. (b) A 3-horse box trifecta each race, total $12. Includes a new stakes plan that combines which best points of the top ranked staking plans for betting systems. 50 represents odds of almost exactly 6-4 ON. PLAN OF THE MONTH. 50 or 77 per cent. Arnaud: Receive latest horse racing news, race previews and our hand picked selections. If we could strike 15 of these 3/1 trebles we would be into a healthy profit situation. Author Paul Segar has produced textbooks which. 00) to place. 44. Sort of like Genesis in a way. If, however, each favourite averaged out at, say, $1. Don said picking a trifecta winning bet was a test of skill rather than a game of chance. 2%. All options, allows you to make saver bets, if you wish to act like an insurance bets. It is these false favourites that make the percentage so great against the favourites' backer. 20 and 1. The best way to understand the lay 1-4 staking plan is by working through an example. Six steps. 50) or better, then bet 20 units on Horse B and 20 units on Horse C. You can then trade out of your position for a profit before the favourite makes a comeback. Percentage of Bankroll for Favourites: When laying favourites or horses at lower odds, using a percentage of your bankroll might optimise returns while ensuring risks are manageable. Staking Plan SPECIAL FACTOR STAKING PLAN. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. They are the backers of favourites and longshots. Quest for success falls within the second price band so, if using a hypothetical betting bank of £1000, I would lay to a backers stake of 6% of my bank, or £6. b = The bet odds in decimal form, -1. Details of two staking plans are provided for consideration for your place betting activities. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. 5 x your stake using Betfair Favourites Bot. Another way of tackling this idea of backing two horses at 3-1 and under in the same race is to back each to win the same amount of money. Originally, the plan came from America and was specifically designed for betting on the 1st, 2nd and 3rd favourites in each race, but only if. The books alone stand as a complete reference but also provide 'food for thought'. If you take a worse case scenario and all three horses lose, then you have lost a total of £5. If there is sufficient confidence in the favourite winning, the punter should increase. P. Over the years, enough has been written about the fact that betting on favourites is not profitable, even if they do win roughly 30 per cent of races. JOIN NOW FOR $156/Year. Betting in level stakes, the profit works out at 2. Last month's article gave examples of how this approach can be effectively used with sensible selections. Th. Five Star Staking Plan. Level Staking . Note how I also increased the target_rate to 73% as second favourites are expected to lose more often than the first ones. Right now you are losing 1 unit. I think he was right. THE SAFE INSURANCE PLAN My idea with this plan is to provide you with a staking idea that gives you the chance of good returns, and yet provides a key element of insurance against big losses. On that day they either won as favourites or they won at 15/1 and 20/1. Automatically places Back/Lay bets on one or more favourites within the market. Simply plug in how much you want to spend on any race or sporting event -- the software does the rest. How to quickly examine race cards to identify short-priced favourites that have (a very slim chance of winning) How to adopt a professional approach to betting to avoid the costly mistakes most layers make. This approach can often be referred to, disparagingly, as. Place Strike rate per race: 65. 1. 2. 73%. With a betting bank, play safe and divide it into two. One of football advisor’s core strategies of laying the draw also works on. If we take a hypothetical place treble of three favourites each paying, say, $1. 20 and 1. 76. Th. Secure Staking Plan. 2 odds daily – Low odds betting challenge. That means instead of adding $7 to your Base Bet, you add $20 (that is, 10 flows of $2 each). In this way, regardless of your budget, you can maximize your earnings by managing your budget with a low odds staking plan . 2-1 to 3-1: With horses in this range, you can satisfactorily keep to the 10% bet. However, using the best staking plan may just be as difficult as getting the right bets. Six placings in a row (five all-ups) at $1. The method, as you will probably realise, is designed to sort out true favourites. Just multiply your bet size by 50. 3 per cent on turnover, while level stakes loses 25 per cent! Quite a difference. The X Factor Staking plan was devised with two purposes in mind: 1) To defeat the long losing run which is the stumbling block of many systems (Winter). The horse to be backed is 5/1. 5 units (or $1. These 3 lay systems encapsulate the wide. That sequence of 14 is less than likely to occur, but it will. Th. Now that's a bold claim but he had the records to prove it. Bet Two and Bet Three are also one unit, as 4 - 1 any winner will return us at least $5, or at least 66 per cent on outlay. We cover golf news, golf equipment, golf odds, us open golf, pga tour, liv golf, and more. 6 shots should win about 22% of the time. Now, PPM readers have the chance to take advantage of the Banker Weekly articles by The Optimist, Jon Hudson, George 'Barker' Bellfield and Martin Dowling. It's not something they can ever be cured of, but this staking plan at least attempts to put them in a better position to overcome the inherent financial dangers posed by chain betting. f * = The percentage of your bank you should bet wager. Load more library articles Popular; You may like; Recent; 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. With a daily turnover of £90 (6 bets x £15 stake), a 5% ROI would indicate a daily profit of £4. But by splitting the $50 into 10 flows, you increase your boldness. 57 x 20 = 5. Only place a lay bet if the Greyhound odds are between 6. 0= 1. Horse racing systems and research. Pick out one city on which to operate. WITH KELLY. If your bank is $100, keep half of it in reserve and begin your betting with $50. 7%. 1 of 1%, your divisor here would be 1000 not 333 which we use for one third of one percent or 250 if you wanted to chase one quarter of one percent. A good, solid staking plan - and there are many of them - can at least put you on the right track. This is the third and final part in our series on the world's greatest staking plans. 43. The idea is that you aim to win a certain amount of cash per race by backing favourites or near favourites. Race Distance Change Statistics. First off, we’ll take you through some well-known staking plans that punters use to stay in control of their bank roll. This plan allows increased bets on the basis of good winnings, a limit on losses which is clearly established at the start and the removal of some profits on the way. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. This staking plan is as follows: Your bank should be 50 times your flat level stake. You get back $50 for a profit of $17 (+51. Once you have won, you place your initial bank roll plus your profits from every bet on the next wager. Study the two daily double races carefully pick one race in which the favourite seems to have a strong chance. 43. The favourite must be 2-1 or shorter in the betting. In this staking strategy, a punter bets a certain number of ‘units’ based on their confidence, with a ‘unit’ being a predetermined amount of money. THE PARTIAL PLACE PLAN . 00) to win is 3/1 (4. The second favourite must be 7-2 or longer in the betting. They are as follows: HOT FAVOURITE PLAN. Same Track Last Start Statistics. The square root impact for a $5 profit is $2, and this is multiplied 10 times. This table shows the effects of Secure Staking, Whitaker Staking and the next best recommended staking plans for that type of betting system in comparison to simple level stakes betting (blue column). 5/2. 2) To enable higher stakes, than were previously used, to be placed to play up winners and winning runs (Summer) in the knowledge that the long losing run would not cause the system to fail. Then do your other selections, never picking more than 2 horses per leg. Bet Five and Bet Six are two units ($2). 6 Point Staking Plan. A study led by Simon Fraser University researchers finds that mining companies are staking claims on future salmon habitats as glaciers retreat. 1 of 1%, your divisor here would be 1000 not 333 which we use for one third of one percent or 250 if you wanted to chase one quarter of one percent. 66% of your bank. 2%. 40. If you back outsiders, you could go 50 races without a winner. Greyhound racing is probably the best system under which a punter in Australia can risk - or rather, invest - his hard earned dough. In fact, both HAD to be at 3-1 or under before you bet them. If your bank is $100, keep half of it in reserve and begin your betting with $50. 358 – lay the favourite in certain races if its odds are a certain price, and to a specialist lay staking plan called the Lay 1-4 staking plan. A2. Staking has been covered many times in P. Odds on strike rate. You need to consider a few things before deciding on whether you use a staking plan with a system and if you do use a STAKING PLAN, which one do you use . This project is a fork (offshoot) of the standard version (v2. 19 backing and 19 laying staking plans: Automatic markets and selections search across the all sports events: Load multiple UK, AUS, US races, greyhounds and other markets: Betting on unnamed favourites (1-6 Favs) Auto select lowest priced runner in a certain price range: Simulation mode to test your strategies with virtual betsFavourites; Staking Plans; Dealing with Dollars; No data found DEALING WITH DOLLARS By Statsman Why is it that punters who back favourites continue to take a pretty hefty beating at the races? It's worth really taking a close look at favourites, and betting on them. 50), and linked all five into 10 win trebles at $10 each for your $100. It's all a mat. Most favourites are false favourites, as evidenced by the fact that only about three out of 10 of them actually win. Track Secrets (Part 3)The price is 6/4 Favourite. Now, in a couple of rules, you have this entire system. The worksheet tracks your bets and provides in-depth performance data as well as a profit graph. With a betting bank, play safe and divide it into two. You strike a 5/1 winner. By making sure that you constantly risk the same amount of money, you limit the potential hits that you can take while being influenced to look for value when searching for lines that you want to bet on. Also consider level staking and to reduce losing runs put small amounts on a couple of dangers if you really need to. 40 we would secure a return of around $2. And so on. For example, betting 0. The same goes for the money returned from race 8-it goes onto the favourites in the first two races at the next meeting. You also know that if this horse loses you will need to stake another £47 on the next bet, a total of over £160 and you only started off betting £1. For higher risk methods, you may wish to consider 3%, or even 2%. e. In running order according to the times of the races, the order of bets went like this: Lost, lost, WON 11 / 8, lost, WON 9/4, WON 7/4, lost, lost, lost, WON 11 / 8, WON 2 / 1. Taking this idea even further, we can examine the prospects of yet another interesting plan which relies on the favourites for its bets. You might have even tossed in Not Fussy in the first event, and Our Highlander in the fifth, both at less than 2/1 ($2. The kind of staking plan that works best for them may be different from someone following long-shot bets on horses, or someone betting on the over 2. 4%. Sure, there may be days when this is not the case, but those days are few and far between. It must also have a win strike rate of at least 25 per cent and a place strike rate of at least 60 per cent. com was first established in 1999 as a down to earth punters' site without all the fake sales hype and pop ups. Big Six (2) Caulfiled Cup Melbourne Cup Group Races (5) Doubles (13) Exactas (2) Favourites (2) Fibonacci Sequence (1) First Four (9) Frame Betting (1)The maximum amount to bet is set at 10%. First bet is 1 unit eachway. And then, of course, some people bet on a full range of odds, and they may need another kind of staking plan. Staking is when you lock crypto assets for a set period of time to help support the operation of a blockchain. 5. If A wins the race at 3/1, with Horse B unplaced, the return will be $26. Start with a small stake, (1% of your Starting Bank) and place your bet. Well it really is quite simple and soundly based. Horse Racing Systems. The same goes for the money returned from race 8-it goes onto the favourites in the first two races at the next meeting. Australia Sports Betting has developed a free staking plan Excel spreadsheet which doubles as a betting tracker. Everyone can multiply his hard earned capital here. on a wager. Saturday Insiders. This simple method involves investing the same amount of capital on every wager you place. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. The most profitable staking plan was the Kelly Staking Plan. Multiple Strategies bot is available with V2 version. You can have one strategy betting on favourites, a second one trading on horse races, a third one betting on tennis matches and several other strategies betting on football events or tipster tips. 7-2 to 5--1: The recommended staking for horses in this price range is 8%. Use your form reading skills to decide if a candidate is a strong favourite or not. This bet will payout on first, second and third. Taking this idea even further, we can examine the prospects of yet another interesting plan which relies on the favourites for its bets. this. Track Secrets (Part 3)Why staking plans for betting could mean the difference between making a profit or a loss from your betting activities. Take 100 units out for the first day. Favourites. Details of two staking plans are provided for consideration for your place betting activities. The Punt Master. com Betting Tracker Introduction Page / 1 4 7 14 4 4. A Little Extra Income. . Top Dog + Top Box = Top Bet. , 1. Win Level Stakes Loss on turnover: -11. A good example of this is the Martingale system, which relies on doubling up your stake after a losing bet. 10 odds strategy. 18, or just $5. Don said picking a trifecta winning bet was a test of skill rather than a game of chance. 00 of profit let’s say if you had a $1. This is known as 'Dutching' in its simplest form. This plan is recommended for those punters who are. 5 units. The following is the staking plan in detail: 200 units bank makes the bet 10 units until bank hits 220 220 units bank makes the bet 11 units until bank hits 240 240 units bank makes the bet 12 units until bank hits 260 260 units bank makes the bet 13 units until bank hits 280 280 units bank makes the bet 14 units until bank hits 300 When you. Beneficially, we advise that you use not more than 3% progression to avoid unnecessary liabilities. For a low-risk system (e. Horse B = 25 / 73. So named because the target is a mere 10 cents (or a multiple thereof) per race, with safety a. A common strategy in tennis exchange trading is to lay a dominant favourite at the beginning of a game at short odds in the hope that their opponent will claim an early break. There was scope for finding three at evens or thereabouts, and linking them. 1. Last month we began this series which focuses on the 10 systems and staking plans that a group of PPM contributors has voted "the best" of the past 17 years, though they all said they could easily have chosen another 100! Deciding which systems are the tops proved a tougher job than we'd anticipated. 8. However, with the 10K system, stakes gradually diminish as each week goes by whilst the odds of horses backed increase! In this way we overcome the fundamental deficiencies of the usual type of staking system. Now to find out what to bet on each runner: You divide each horse’s individual percentage by the overall percentage figure – then multiply by the total amount you want to stake on the event ($20 in this example). The kind of staking plan that works best for them may be different from someone following long-shot bets on horses, or someone betting on the over 2. betting at short prices), 5% is an acceptable figure. Both favourites were coming back from a spell and could be risked, so the selections were the next four in the betting - Special Grange, Skewiff. Thus. 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. If the favourites in races 7 and 8 win, you will have that collect to put on the favourite in the first race the following meeting. Less 1/2 win 75% Place 87%. Price Gapper 5+ – Lay apparent sure things again using the above specialist staking plan. In the last two parts of this series I have looked at various aspects of staking. About False Favourites Proven lay System with killer Betfair market strategies, here’s what you’ll learn: Knowing the differences between handicaps, maidens, novices, sellers and claimers is vital. Australia Sports Betting has developed a free staking plan Excel spreadsheet which doubles as a betting tracker. 5 units may represent a low. It's all a mat. Overall, it is a strategy that is perfect for some punters. In an 18 horse field, you are only looking at the top 9. 50 Favourites Staking Plan. 26. 2 units. 2 odds daily. WITH KELLY. You have chosen the two races you consider the best of the day. The three staking plans chosen were (1) Level Stakes, (2) The Kelly 5 Per Cent of Bank, and (3) The Key Progression. (In past times it was used to support 1st and 2nd forecast favourites in 3 mile handicap chases at the Principal National Hunt meeting of the day. Extensive details about horse racing tracks – Track information, results, jockey stats and trainer stats and track news from your trusted source - Practical PuntingA further extension of this idea would be to chase winning doubles with the favourites in each race. Five staking methods put to the test. With this staking plan, you know what your largest stake is going to be before you start. Outlay. Then we can select “Percentage” from the list of staking plans and adjust the percent we will bet each time. 6, that`s pretty much exactly what the maths says should happen, because 4. With a betting bank, play safe and divide it into two. . com. To defeat the long losing run which is the stumbling block of many systems and, 2) To enable higher stakes, than were previously used, to be placed to play up winners and winning runs in the knowledge. 25). One well worn strategy is to look for horses that habitually get beaten as short priced favourites. Column H's formula can be varied to suit whatever your target amount is (and comfort level). Check the stakes periodically. Favourites; Staking Plans; No data found Staking Plans 3 Staking Plans. Th. So two favourites at less than 2/1 can make a pretty decent profit. Staking Plan Calculator and Betting Tracker v1. Place bets 1sec or hours before the race starts; Bet filters: Min/max number of runners, Max stake/liability protection, % back/lay ratio, Unsettled bets allowed, Multiple staking plans 1. I suggest you follow this staking approach: 1 - 1 - 1 - 1. 80. A staking plan in sports betting is just a way of being more organised with what you are going to stake. If your bank is $100, keep half of it in reserve and begin your betting with $50. The latter progression works on the basis that each figure is bet the same number of times it represents (i. If you only wanted to chase . Pick your three best horses in each of the races (or take the pre-post favourites). Now, professional punters. Load more library articles Popular; You may like; Recent; 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. The bets, to return $50, using the form of the Dutching approach, would be: Theseo $23 and Viewed $10, a total of $33. Saturday Last Start Statistics. 5 but you have to subtract one, so b becomes 3. This staking plan is employed when backing 2 horses in each race. As the race turned out, they ran 1st and 2nd, with Theseo the winner. The top staking plans explained from an expert’s standpoint. . This gives you two winning trebles (races 4-5-6 and 5-6-7). As the race turned out, they ran 1st and 2nd, with Theseo the winner. If you back outsiders, you could go 50 races without a winner. "With this plan I am guaranteed to ultimately finish in front," he proudly boasted. There was a 3rd selection for the Australian Greyhound Betting System that didn’t place on the night in the first race at Wentworth Park Greyhounds called Lady Divine. But the reality is that it will never work on poor systems. The first is the aforementioned Partial Place Plan and the second is a plan known as Oscar's Grind, developed by a roulette-playing gambler at the casinos. Place Strike rate per race: 58. 50 chance. If the horse wins at 4/1 or over, you recover all losses plus you will mostly make a profit. THE SUPER FAVS PLAN. Total P/L: 12. 60 we would get a 3/1 treble up. Automatically places Back/Lay bets on one or more favourites within the market. Firstly, though, something about favourites and. at 2/1 ON the place!), would give you $57 for just that final 20 per cent, together with the earlier returns of $38, $25, $17 and $11, a total of around $150 or 5/1. For your weekend betting action. Races qualifying: 4260. It gets a place so you win 6 units. 57 / 73. 3 per cent, an amazing turn-around. Now, Racerate. Your return on the sole winner at 9/2 would be $18, leaving you with a loss of $6 on the day, compared with only $2 using the 6-Point Plan. Track Secrets (Part 3)Over the last couple of issues we've discussed aspects of staking in regard to the 6-Point Divisor Plan. (3) Step 2. Very nice indeed! The strike-rate has. Firstly, we'll look at the difference between a bet on a horse at even money. Track Secrets (Part 3)A 78% strike rate says you`re hitting winners with 22% of your lays, but at an average lay price of 4. P. Whether it is Horses, Dogs, or Sports. 7: Bold Type: Highlights the recommended staking plan of that risk category. 75 units, or 25 per cent on turnover. 1st and 3rd favourite. Evidence enough of their worth, taking the past as the guide, is that if a favourite fits into this statistical group the percentages indicate it has a strong winning chance. 5 to 11: lay to 0. Pick out one city on which to operate. Now to find out what to bet on each runner: You divide each horse’s individual percentage by the overall percentage figure – then multiply by the total amount you want to stake on the event ($20 in this example). Labouchere. And they aren't much fun either! So why not put $25 on each of two, using a steady selection plan ALL YEAR to support you? The plan could be (for example) the first two-year-old prepost favourite on Friday morning, and the favourite in whichever race has the fewest number of runners before. Even short priced favourites and each-way betting have legitimate places in our betting plays.